In light of our fragmented attention spans, I've started to wonder about another implication for the development of media. Namely, I'm wondering if our attention span will continue to fragment for a period, but then turn around back to something akin to "deep reading" with further developments in our media technology.
Given the development of the app and the "death of the web," our relationship with media will change dramatically. Our interaction with media will move rapidly in the next 5 years to Ipads
and other similar devices. The media we use on them will change radically in the next 10 years. There is every reason to assume the next 10-15 years will see another great change in behavior, and no reason to assume the current trajectory will last.
Perhaps the only thing missing is the new media which enables deep, engaged thought. The Ipads and Kindles are designed in such a way that deep interaction should be enabled, as opposed to our mobile devices and computers, which encourage distractions. Once media production has adjusted itself to the new technology, it may be that people find themselves deeply engaged in new forms of deep media that engages us in ways similar to long Victorian novels again.
I would argue that many TV shows are already falling into this category, as we remain engaged in new seasons of "Mad Men" or "Lost." Likewise with cable news, which actually follows stories over the course of years, and will often pick up threads from decades ago. We don't assume following news stories to be deep reading, and it's arguable to what degree it actually is, but millions of people do follow stories over long periods of time. One can easily state that video games are a deeply immersive experience that engages the player in a deep state, with the capacity to become more and more complex in its narrative structures and character developments.
Will we be reading novels and books on our Ipads with the deep reading experience many of us grew up with? Some probably will - especially as new books begin to engage us in more interactive ways, and even as we spend less time in front of computers and more time with our new devices. I think it's important to look for new forms of media that will enable deep reading experiences, and to put what pressure we can on software developers to encourage deep, immersive experiences over shorter, distracting experiences.